I feel like there are about 15-20 (max) 11 yr old level 8s in our region. Actually, looking back at each states allotment just for regionals, there will be a total of 83 11/12 year olds. So taking about half seems somewhat reasonable. Luckily, my son is basically primed already to realize the fact that even though he may finish top 20 or higher for his optional routines, if he doesn't meet the JE combined score, there could/will be a big handfull of kids that scored a few points less than him going to nationals in the JO division, which may hurt a little, but he'll get over it. One step at a time now though, still have another week until state.