My daughter was crazy good in level 3, so I knew right then with absolute certainty! However... In level 4, well, she was also crazy good but had fear and wouldn't do skills that the coaches expected her to do, so they grew disinterested, and I wasn't so sure. In level 5 she was one of the only girls in the youngest age group, so I thought well time is on our side. Optionals was a huge shift of gears because now she had options and didn't have to do the skills that were really difficult for her mentally. She was still mental and everything was very iffy, but she was also quickly getting a lot of skills that suited her distinct strengths. I just wasn't seeing other gymnasts like her, for whom some things came so easy and yet other things sent her to the depths of psychiatry. So I still wasn't terribly confident. In level 8 she was on top of the world, winning everything. It was concerning that she had less skills than everyone she was competing against, but everything she did was pretty clean. In level 9 the wheels came off. Because of her unique characteristics, she needed a particular type of coaching, and we had trouble finding that. Even when we found it, we would lose the coach for one reason or another. Anyhow, she went under--too much pressure and not enough fun, went through a period of losing skills and not even having enough skills to be at her level. Then injuries and surgeries. Again, time was on our side and she needed it. The years chipping away at level 9 and level 10 just kind of dragged on and on with only modest improvements from year to year. Always the same strengths and weaknesses. Always hope but never certainty. Recruiting was honestly very disappointing but she ended up going D1 with a school that was at least in her top 10. But her top schools all wanted vault and she didn't have a 10.1 vault. Meanwhile she'd be stringing together 38s in level 10, so I guess a lot of people weren't convinced about her, but she keeps working at proving them wrong. Myself included. I never felt as confident about it all as I did in level 3.