Can u elaborate? Are u talking about the dumbing down of gymnastics, like a few months ago when a similar topic was raised?
I think it will happen too, but I think it will take longer. And I don't see it as a bad way to go. Look at the other countries. Most of them have "optional" routines from the start. I think the main reason we have compulsory here is for the judges benefit, not the girls. It makes it a lot easier to score the girls across the board if they are all doing the same routines.
The way I see it is that skills are skills. As long as coaches are adhering to a high level of mastery, it really doesn't matter whether those skills are placed into a predetermined routine or an individual one. But that is the predicament - for most of the country, xcel is a program using less hours and less emphasis on high mastery. These type of programs will not produce the caliber of gymnasts that can continue to move up the ranks to 8-10 and college. But if you look at region 8, you will see this happening frequently (well, not college yet because the program isn't old enough yet).
They are nationalizing xcel next year and there also seems to be talk about it gout under the JO umbrella. So they obviously have plans for this program. I wouldn't be surprised to find out that they have stardt collecting data on it to see whether it can produce similar results as the traditional compulsory levels.