I really don't know what to think. I tend to think the best of people, so I really do want to believe the federation. That being said, I also understand the Chinese government, and how easily they can manipulate their own people. I also know that China wants to win so badly. I wrote in a different post of the Chinese sports school where they have essentially brainwashed young athletes and trained them to win-for the pride of the country. They've pulled these kids away from their families, and their only education is that of their sport-the one the government chooses for them. So the desire to win is just gargantuan.
However, if He Kexin is indeed 16, I believe she has the advantage. Yes-her and Nastia have the same start value, but she has one thing Nastia doesn't: consistency. She goes out and hits that routine just about every time. Nastia has a troublesome dismount, and has been off on her Paks lately. So Nastia is really going to have to hit to contend for the gold.